GLOBAL M2 LIQUIDITY & CREDIT — ARCHIVAL MEMO
Week Ending 2026-04-17
Historical GMLCI reconstruction reflects only the two FRED-derived market-tier components (Funding/Dollar Stress and Risk Transmission). The four judgment components are not reconstructed.
Archive GMLCI
+7.50
Neutral / mixed
Funding / Dollar
+25
FRED-derived market tier
Risk Transmission
+50
FRED-derived market tier
Coverage
2 / 6
Market-tier reconstruction
Archival Reconstruction Notes
Coverage caution
- Historical GMLCI reconstruction reflects only the two FRED-derived market-tier components (Funding/Dollar Stress and Risk Transmission). The four judgment components are not reconstructed.
NEUTRAL Archive market-tier score +7.50 — Neutral / mixed.
GMLCI Market-Tier Lens
GMLCI = 0.30 x Global M2 Momentum + 0.20 x USD-Adjusted M2 + 0.15 x Central Bank Liquidity + 0.15 x Credit Impulse + 0.10 x Funding/Dollar Stress + 0.10 x Risk Transmission
| Component | Weight | Score | Contribution |
|---|---|---|---|
| Global M2 Momentum | 30% | +0 | +0.00 |
| USD-Adjusted M2 | 20% | +0 | +0.00 |
| Central Bank Liquidity | 15% | +0 | +0.00 |
| Credit Impulse | 15% | +0 | +0.00 |
| Funding / Dollar Stress | 10% | +25 | +2.50 |
| Risk Transmission | 10% | +50 | +5.00 |
| Week | Archive GMLCI | Funding / Dollar | Risk Transmission | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-17 | +7.50 | +25 | +50 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-04-10 | +7.50 | +50 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-04-03 | -3.00 | +0 | -30 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-03-27 | +0.00 | +0 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-03-20 | -7.00 | -70 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
Show 39 earlier entries
| Week | Archive GMLCI | Funding / Dollar | Risk Transmission | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | -6.00 | -30 | -30 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-03-06 | -3.00 | -30 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-02-27 | +2.50 | +0 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-02-20 | +0.00 | +0 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-02-13 | -0.50 | +25 | -30 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-02-06 | -14.00 | -70 | -70 | NEGATIVE |
| 2026-01-30 | +2.50 | +25 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-01-23 | -0.50 | +25 | -30 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-01-16 | +2.50 | +0 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-01-09 | +2.50 | +0 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2026-01-02 | +0.00 | +0 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-12-26 | +7.50 | +50 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-12-19 | -7.00 | +0 | -70 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-12-12 | +0.00 | +0 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-12-05 | +2.50 | +25 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-11-28 | +2.50 | +25 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-11-21 | -10.00 | -30 | -70 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-11-14 | +2.50 | +25 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-11-07 | -10.00 | -70 | -30 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-10-31 | +5.00 | +25 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-10-24 | +0.00 | +0 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-10-17 | -10.00 | -30 | -70 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-10-10 | -3.00 | -30 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-10-03 | +2.00 | -30 | +50 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-09-26 | -6.00 | -30 | -30 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-09-19 | +2.50 | +25 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-09-12 | +2.50 | +0 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-09-05 | -3.00 | -30 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-08-29 | +2.50 | +25 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-08-22 | -6.00 | -30 | -30 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-08-15 | +2.50 | +0 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-08-08 | +2.50 | +25 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-08-01 | -3.00 | -30 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-07-25 | +5.00 | +50 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-07-18 | -3.00 | -30 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-07-11 | +2.50 | +0 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-07-04 | +7.50 | +50 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-06-27 | +5.00 | +25 | +25 | NEUTRAL |
| 2025-06-20 | +0.00 | +0 | +0 | NEUTRAL |
Historical GMLCI reconstruction reflects only the two FRED-derived market-tier components (Funding/Dollar Stress and Risk Transmission). The four judgment components are not reconstructed. Full GMLCI is not percentile-ranked for reconstructed archive weeks.
Sources & Data Definitions
| Field | Source | Type |
|---|---|---|
| Funding / Dollar Stress | FRED DTWEXBGS + BAMLH0A0HYM2 | Market |
| Risk Transmission | FRED SP500 + NASDAQCOM + CBBTCUSD | Market |
| Unreconstructed components | Global M2 Momentum, USD-Adjusted M2, Central Bank Liquidity, Credit Impulse | Documented judgment; not backfilled |